The reliability wall
NumericalBeginner⏱ 15 minAgentshorizonreliabilityplanning
Problem
Tabulate the per-step reliability needed for 99% trajectory success at horizons . Express each as an error rate, and comment on what this implies for long-horizon autonomy.
Compute the requested quantities and say what they mean. A number without an interpretation is not an answer.
Solution
Opening this before you have a real attempt on paper is the fastest way to feel like you understand something you cannot reproduce.
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